@zaheer1
Thanx for sharing the information but what I heard was that Chaudhry Mubashir is being considered for district chairmanship slot? And I think he is a better choice than all others..
This time Amjad Warraich's brother Khalid Warraich is contesting on PML-N ticket. Hamza has refused to accept this and his son Usama is contesting as an independent. Farkhanda Amjad warraich, wife of Amjad warraich is contesting on the ticket of her husband's National Muslim League.
It is a tough 3 way fight with no candidate a clear favorite yet. However, division of warraich votes may pave the way for Usama Hamza.
@mabaig
Can you please elaborate the situation in NA 108. I have some friends , incidently also supporters of Ch. Ijaz, telling me that Ijaz is in much stronger position to win from there as compared to Mumtaz Tarar. Please give us current situation.
This was very well discussed consituency last time.
This time it is going to be very intresting 3-way or 4-way contest between PMLN, PPP, PTI and Hamid Nasir Chatta group.
I hope someone from the constituency can give present analysis on this constituency.
4 all of u in 1998 election pml (N) took lead of 20000 from saraialamgir thana(some fools say strong hold of pml(n) or anyother party reason may Allah bless his soul CH farooq didnt support any 1 and he had a lead more then 16000 in 1998 election)
now this time PML(N) took only lead of 1500 votes reason caz CH arshad supported rehman nasser openly in last 2weeks reason he lost caz chaudharies wrong ticket gving in kharian tehsiel and other thigs.
PP114 ONLY BELONGS TO FAROOQ SHAHEED'S LOVERS WE STILL LOVE HIM WE WILL VOTE 4 HIM DSNT MATTER WHICH PARTY CH ARSHAD(HIS BROTHER)STAND 4.
VOTES R 4 CH FAROOQ I CAN BETT IF NAWAZ SHARIEF OR ZERDARI COMES AND CONTEST ELECTION AGAINST CH ARSHAD OR MAMOO g (CH ABDUL REHMAN THESIL NAMZAM 2TIME EVERY ONE CALLS HIM MAMOO G)THEY WILL LOSE BADLY SO THIS SEAT IS CONFIRM NOW 4 CH FAROOQ' FAMILY ONLY.
ZINDA HAY FAROOQ TU AJJ BHI
One thing more if Ch Aslam or Nazar Gondal would contest on this seat. For sure PPP Wins becuase both of them has strong afilitaion with PPP, both of them holds strong Personality Vote and very well Educated People.
I am not aware of this constituency either but I heard from the adjascent constituency that Mr. Idrees Bajwa is not a week candidate either. He got morethan 50000 votes not only for his party affiliation rather he is well respected in the area and according to a TV channel report it will be close contest between three candidates. Therefore, we should not give priority to our personal affiliation rather give a neutral analysis.
@wbuttar
After Bhutta withdrew in qazi sahib's favour this election tilted in favour of Khurra satgit for N. But since BB's murder I have felt that Khawaja Saleh is also campaiging very hard and as you said may win also. This is another constituency which shows plight of citizens f gujranwala. Khurra who is the son of Ghulam Dastgir( who has been elected fro this constituency several times before) again represents a the same old group who is responsible to bring Gujranwala to its present state. On the other hand Khawja Saleh sees to be better but never tested before so lets see. I am just waiting for the time when people of Gujranwala elect honest and visionary people as their representatives.
@wbuttar
I agree with you analysis. If one of the Ranas was a candidate , Ch Abdullah Virk could not win. Now it may become little close although Rana Nazir still has a big edge. I think PPP should find some other candidate here for future.
I think Ch. Shujaat cannot afford to lose here because he selected this constituency as a safe heaven in the absence of previous MNA Umar Ghumman. Umar Ghumman (who is also my close relative) has settled in USA being a dual national but his father Maj. R. Nisar Ghumman (sitting Minister and a close friend of Mush) is sporting Shujaat but at the same time his real brother Col. R. Sultan Sikandar is contesting on PPP ticket against Shujaat. Their common brother Lt.Gen.Israr GHumman is a sitting three star General. Shujaat is doing everything to pressurize and terrorize voters in this constituency as per their common practice. This PPP candidate was second in the row in other constituency after Ali Asjad Malhi who won after rigging and his nephew Umar Ghumman won with a large majority in this constituency previously but afterward resigned as Minister after differences with Shaukat Aziz. In my opinion PML-N candidate can give a surprise. But best chance is for PPP.
In this constituenecy, the contest is between Afzal Tarar group and Mehdi Bhatti group. Political parties do not really exist here except for some areas in Hafizabad city. Saira Afzal Tarar is the daughter of Afzal Tarar and Shaukat Bhatti is the son of Mehdi Bhatti. As has been mentioned in a previous post, Saira Tarar has gone all the way from the beginning and Shaukat Bhatti has trailed from the day 1. Anti incumbency, corruption and a host of similar factors have been the major factors which have influenced the election.
Prima facie, Afzal Tarar group is sweeping the entire district. Mehdi Bhatti, like 1997, will end up with nothing. Fortunes seem to have reversed completely since the complete sweep of Mehdi group supported by rigging in 2002. Shahid Bhatti (Afzal group) is ahead of Liaquat Bhatti (brother of Mehdi) in NA 103. Likewise, anti Mehdi candidates are leading in PP105, PP106 and PP107.
Maybe we can analyze a bit better if we agree on some basic asumptions:
1. 2002 elections were rigged. Even if 2008 elections are rigged, teh scale of rigging will not be more than in 2002.
2. PML(Q) support has dwindled considerably.
3. Support for PML(N) and PPP has risen.
Given these three basic assumptions, any seats where PML(Q) won by leass than 10,000 votes in 2002 are extremely likely to go to the opposition this time.
I think the Hamza is the only Sharif family person participating. Dynasic politics is at its weakest in PML-N as compared to others. Nawaz would have easily launched hassan or hussain, had he wanted to have his amily's hold. So Hamza must be selected on merit.
