Agree with Gm's predictions about this constituency. Situation would've been different here if Arif Chaudhry were contesting but as he is disqualified and his covering candidate, Sajjad Hussain, is not well known political personality in the PPP workers as well as the City, furthermore, he is not even contesting on the PPP' s Election Symbol "TEER" rather he has been alloted the "Wall Clock" Symbol which is enough to demoralize the party workers. Therefore, according to my predictions, PML(Q)'s candidate Rao Sikandar Iqbal will get his seat through and as far as the provincial assembly's seat is concerned, Mian Muhammad Munir of PML (N) is definitely the winner.
In my point of view within these two constituencies, Okara I and Okara II, following 3 seats are clear and on the rest of the seats its gonna be a tough competition.
It is true that Tawakkal got bilal Q legue ticket in 2002, but lets not forget here that anyone who gets N ticket of 136, starts with 15-20K votes of true N leaguers. N league is in majority since there are many towns in 136. Bilal and Tawakal are going to split their family and "dhara" votes, so Tariq Shah might win coz of this.
In 2002, Akbar Shah of PPP got over 40K votes in a totally new area (NA 136). Akbar Shah died last year and his younger brother has PP-173 ticket and looks to be in a very good position. PPP has definately some vote bank in this area so lets see.
I personally feel it is going to a very tight race with advantage heading to Tariq Shah coz of establishment support.