پیپلز پارٹی کے لیے پگاڑہ خطرے کی گھنٹی؟



  • پاکستان مسلم لیگ (فنکشنل) نے سندھ میں بلدیاتی نظام کے بارے میں صوبائی اسمبلی کے منظور کردہ قانون کے خلاف قوم پرستوں کے ساتھ مل کرحیدرآباد میں بہت بڑا جلسہ کیا۔ بظاہر محسوس ہوتا ہے کہ حکمران جماعت پیپلز پارٹی اس جلسے سے خاصی پریشان ہے۔

    مقامی صحافیوں کے مطابق سندھ میں پیپلز پارٹی مخالفین کا اتنا بڑا جلسہ شاذ و نادر ہی ہوتا ہے اور اس جلسے سے پیپلز پارٹی سندھ میں اپنے لیے ایک سنگین خطرہ محسوس کر رہی ہے۔ یہی وجہ ہے کہ جلسے کے فوری بعد صدر آصف علی زرداری نے ایک ہفتے سے کراچی میں ڈیرے ڈال رکھے ہیں۔ ان کے قریبی حلقوں کا کہنا ہے کہ صدر کے دورے کے دو بڑے سیاسی مقاصد ہیں۔ ایک پیر پگاڑہ اور دوسرا غلام مرتضیٰ جتوئی کو مفاہمت کی چادر پہنانا ہے۔

    صدر صاحب کی غیر اعلانیہ سیاسی سرگرمیوں کا پہلا نتیجہ یہ نکلا کہ سید یوسف رضا گیلانی مخدوم احمد محمود کو پنجاب کا گورنر بنوانے میں کامیاب ہوئے لیکن تاحال صدر صاحب کی خواہش کے باوجود پیر پگاڑہ کی ان سے ملاقات نہیں ہوسکی۔ احمد محمود کو پنجاب کا گورنر بنانے کے فیصلے کی پیر صاحب نے بھی تائید کی ہے اور پیپلز پارٹی کے حلقے اس خوش فہمی میں ہیں کہ صدر نے انہیں ‘نیوٹرلائیز’ کر لیا ہے۔

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/urdu/pakistan/2012/12/121221_political_scene_sh.shtml



  • کراچی: فنکشنل لیگ کے سربراہ پیرپگارا نے کہا ہے کہ ان کا پیپلزپارٹی کے ساتھ کوئی سیاسی رابطہ نہیں ہے اور نہ ہی اس کا امکان ہے۔۔

    کراچی میں اپنے گھر راجہ ہاؤس میں میڈیا سے بات کرتے ہوئے پیر صاحب پگارا کا کہنا تھا کہ ان کے پاس بیک ڈور نہیں صرف فرنٹ ڈور ہے۔

    انہوں نے کہا کہ وہ اپنے اصولی موقف پر قائم ہیں اور حکومت سے بات چیت کا کوئی سوال ہی پیدا نہیں ہوتا۔

    مخدوم احمد محمود کو گورنر بنائے جانے کے حوالے سے سوال کا جواب دیتے ہوئے پیرپگارا نے کہا کہ مخدوم احمد محمود پیپلز پارٹی کے لوگوں کو نہیں جانتے۔ وہ لطیف کھوسہ سے بھی پیچھے رہیں گے۔

    ان کا کہنا تھا کہ یوں لگتا ہے کہ پیپلزپارٹی کے پاس لوگ ہی نہیں جو وہ فنکشنل لیگ کے لوگوں کو گورنر بنا رہی ہے۔

    http://urdu.dawn.com/2012/12/21/pir-pagara-statement/





  • All these traditional politicians are trying to jack up their prices. Few bones here and few there. Asif Ali Zardari is doggedly insightful dog master, especially when the pet store is run with public money.



  • Still to defeat PPP in Sindh you need another PPP.... Pir Sahib Pagaroo and others may end up getting 2-5 seats.

    How come PPP saheed Bhotto group ( Ghanwa / fatima / ZAB Jr) are not active. How come they not shaking hand with PML N.



  • expakistani Bhai

    It will never happen.

    They are now out of politics for their safety reasons.



  • حیرت ہے پی پی جیسی جماعت کو الیکشن امیدواروں کے لیے اخباروں میں اشتہار دینا پڑا

    امید وار کم پڑ گیے ہیں یا کمزوری کی نشانی ہے

    :)



  • Pagaras and Jatois alliance with PMLN is good for nothing.

    Pagara, Jatois, Magsi's and PML (Hum Khayal) with help of nationalists can win not more than 11 to 13 NA seats from Sindh.

    By comparing with the result of 2008 Election, grand alliance will result only gain of 3 to 4 seats in sindh and from that 50% would be because of Zafar Ali Shah and Ghos Bukhsh Mehr not because of alliance.



  • 11 to 13 NA seats in Sindh will not be a bad performance, PMLN along with Pagara & others will accept it.



  • @Waqar

    Yes, 11-13 seats in sindh will imply that the seats in sindh are distributed; in this case the whole focus will be on punjab as it appears that the seats in kpk will also be distributed among PPP, ANP,JUI, PMLN, PTI,JI;



  • NA 212 - Zafar Ali Shah (now in PMLN)

    NA 203 - Ghos Bux Mehr (now in PMLF)



  • Zafar Ali Shah is certainly a good pick by PMLN. He should win. Other than that I am not sure if PMLN will be able to get much out of Sind. PMLF will win their seats but overall this alliance won't make them heavy weight. Punjab will remain as battle ground especially urban Punjab and that too between PMLN and PTI. I don't think PPP will gain much there.

    PMLN will be 90+ or 70- a alot depends on how PTI will perform. If they are 20- PMLN will be 90 odd, if PTI is around 50 PMLN will be 70-. PPP will be around 50 odd at best and that too primarily from Sind 30+ and Southern Punjab 20-.



  • Yes, In sindh, the grand Alliance will work only in NA-212, rest 10 or 11 Anti PPP seats (PMLF-6, NPP-1 or 2 & Sherazis-2) do not need Grand allaince.



  • I think this alliance will work in all 61 na seats as religious parties and nationalists all have joined this alliance.shikarpur,khairpur naushero feroz have 7 NA seats i am sure ppp will lose all these seats.dado jacobabad and kashmore have 6 Na seats this alliance can clinch here atleast 2 seats.both seats of ghotki will go to ppp and both seats of tharparker will go to arbab group.

    In sukker one seat to ppp and 1 seat to this alliance.All 3 seats of sanghar will go to this alliance.both seats of thata will go to ppp.in mir pur khas one seat goes to ppp and one to this alliance.In larkana 2 seat will remain with ppp and 1 will go to this alliance.both seats of badin will go to ppp.in nawab shah 2 seats for ppp one seat will go to this alliance.jamshoro seat will go ppp and umerkot seat will go to this alliance



  • hyderabad has 4 Na seat 2 urban 2 rural seat.makdoom ameen faheem from hala will not win easily here same could be said for naveed qamar.Sahibzada abul khair will take care of mqm this time on 1 urban seat.the other urban seat may go to mqm.I think 2 seat will go this alliance from hyderabad and 1 each for ppp n mqm.



  • PPPP position.

    Its not the centre peoples party is worried about, it is rather Sind. A few seats less or more is not going to make any difference for them in national assembly. PPPP can form the government in centre only if they win more seats in Punjab. And, apperently they know that this time around, they will not be lucky enough to win there.

    Its the provincial assembly where PPPP government is at stake. In the house of 168, PPPP has 91 and MQM is at #2 with 52 seats. 25 seats are distributed by the smaller parties of Sind.

    PPPP is scared if any dent is made by the new PML(n)/Pagara alliance in their majority, then MQM vote will play a vital role. They will be bargaining with upper hand and will ask a very high price. Pir sahib Pagara may well be a better choice and more acceptable for MQM, as they have suffered a lot by the hands of PPPP.



  • In karachi this new alliance can win upto 5 Na seats

    Na 239 keemari

    NA 241

    Na 258 ibrahim hadiri

    Na 249 khara dar meetha dar

    NA 250 clifton sadder



  • @BitterTruth: "rest 10 or 11 Anti PPP seats (PMLF-6, NPP-1 or 2 & Sherazis-2) do not need Grand allaince."

    Yes, and their is no guarantee they will support PMLN after election as well. This all depend on how Sindh provincial government play out. If they see opportunity better locally and not getting ministries in federal, they will wash their support for PMLN in blink of an eye.



  • @khawajakhalid: Sahibzada abul khair will take care of mqm this time on 1 urban seat.

    CanI get the name of the cool aid you are drinking?

    Seriously though, he cannot win a local councilor seat, let alone MNA. He will be lucky if he get his “zamanat” back let alone winning.



  • @khawajakhalid: "In karachi this new alliance can win upto 5 Na seats"

    Na 239 keemari - How? PPP and MQM combine get 76% of total pooled votes in last election. What magic this alliance can do to win this seat?

    NA 241 - Thats Orangi land, MQM get 64% of pooled votes, second one was ANP with 25%. So again, what magic this alliance can do to win this seat?

    Na 258 ibrahim hadiri - Here I must say, you are smoking some fine dope. PPP get 81% of total pooled votes in last election. I guess that's enough to know for alliance ;)

    Na 249 khara dar meetha dar - This is mainly memon land. Combination of all parties against MQM and PPP get a total of 20% votes. So again why things will be different this time?

    NA 250 clifton sadder - A candidate who was backed by both PPP and PMLN get 44% of pooled votes. MQM gets 51%. Now comes 2013, put the PTI in place in burger land... they will have more chance over PMLN lead alliance any day of the week. Infect that's the only seat where PTI stand chance in Karachi.

    This alliance will be lucky to get one out of five, let alone five:)