NA 50 - Rawalpindi-I

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  • NA-50 Rawalpindi-I in 2002 elections

    Shahid Khaqan Abbasi PML(N) 63797

    Ghulam Murtaza Satti PML(N) 74259

    Muhammad Sufyan Abbasi MMA 29331

    Valid Votes 168707

    Rejected Votes 2742

    Total Votes 171449

    Registered Voters 358818

    Percentage of Votes Polled to Registered Voters 47.78 %

  • This constituency comprises tehsils of Murree, Kotli Sattian and Kahuta in Rawalpindi district.

    Shahid Khaqan Abbasi won this seat in all elections from 1988 to 1997. In 2002, the PPP's initial candidate was Javed Iqbal Satti, a wealthy contractor who made his fortune in Saudi Arabia. He suffered a heart attack just a week or so before the filing of nomination papers and was advised complete rest by doctors. Therefore, he bowed out of the race and PPP ticket was awarded to Ghulam Murtaza Satti. He won a surprise victory in elections by 11,000 votes largely because the disgruntled ex-supporters of Shahid Khaqan Abbasi voted for the MMA candidate.

    This time Javed Iqbal Satti, now fully recovered, is back into elections. But as Ghulam Murtaza Satti had made his position in PP quite strong, so he saw little chance of getting a PPP ticket. So now he has joined PML(Q) and is contesting as its candidate. As a result, the 'Satti' vote is now badly divided betwenn PPP and PML(Q).

    This is tremendously helping Shahid Khaqan Abbasi who is not otherwise very popular. Furthermore, the MMA boycott has also gone in his favour.

    RESULT: PML(N) victory.

  • Shahid khakan abbasi will win .because he is attracting crowd towards him and it was initially pml consituency and satti has become weaker .


  • Can you provide a little more insight into this constituency?

    Has the situation changed in the last couple of weeks?

    Will the Benazir assassination have any impact on the race as a whole?

    Shahid Khaqan Abbasi secured almost 64k votes in the past election and has won tbis seat 4 times from 1988-1997. Why would you say that he is not popular? He has remained loyal to his party PML-N throught. That alone should count for something.

  • The fate will tell on 18 Feb.

  • Murataza satti in storng position as compared to shahid abbasi. besically there is 4 teshil in NA50.

    In muree shahid abbasi hava a very strong position. because he belong from Muree and here abbasi are in majority so he have a good vote bank. but

    other teshil in Kotli sattian Murtaza satti have very strong position most of people belong from satti cast.

    In Khuta again Murtaza satti in strong position he belong from Teshil Khuta and peoples from Khuta dont want lose the seat they wana keep the seat in Khuta and shahid abbasi had to contact with people in last 5 years. and last Keller sadian always ppp in very stronge position. so Murtaza Satti overall is in wining position.

    guys beleive me thats a reality on ground.

    if any body wants i can tell u the condition breiefly in every union Council

  • You need to take into account three very important factors before you come to a conclusion:

    1. MMA boycott- Last time around the ' Abbasi' vote was divided. Sufyan Abbasi, the MMA candidate bagged around 29k votes. As MMA is boycotting the elections this time around a proportion of these votes will go automatically to PML-N.

    2. Nawaz Sharif factor- Last time around the people were disappointed when Nawaz Sharif went into exile. The fact that Nawaz Sharif is back in the country will give a definite boost to PML-N.

    3. 'Satti' vote division- The fact that two Satti's are contesting the election will result in a division of votes between the PML-Q and PPP. This will play into the hands of the PML-N candidate, Shahid Khaqan Abbasi.

    When you take these factors into account there is no doubt that PML-N is visibly ahead in the race for the NA-50 seat.

  • Shahid Riaz Satti is not a significant player in the area in his personal capacity. So his switching sides should have an impact but probably not a significant impact.

    In any case, as things stand today, PML(N) is already well on its way to a comprehensive win here so anyone joining the bandwagon as Satti did will not alter the result but may increase the winning lead.